Written by Nasser Kandil,
The Americans and the Israelis do not have too much time to think and to maneuver in determining how to deal with the decisive and resolving Russian decisions after the fall of the Russian plane in the Mediterranean, and beholding Israel the responsibility of its dropping, and the consequences of providing Syria with new qualitative weapons as S-300 and maybe S-400, in addition to its support through the high-level electronic jamming from the sea. So they have either to involve in a war or to retreat tactically in a way that saves-face and preventing the impression of defeat and refraction.
The American positions towards Syria and the new flexibility in these positions towards the recognition of the victory of Syria, furthermore, being sufficient in issuing initial positions against the Iranian role in it, as the words of the US President Donald Trump in New York, and the preparation to withdraw the American forces from Al Tanf base in coordination with Russia, towards the acceptance of a political track that ensures the openness to the return of the refugees and the reconstruction outside the American traditional objection coincide with the American threats of striking what it called Iran’s agents in Iraq, threatening of targeting Iran in response of what it called the attacks of agents. Washington has closed its consulate in Basra in preparation for the confrontations to come, which means that linking the American dispute with Iran in Syria paves the way for moving to Iraq as an engagement arena, in which Washington avoids the direct confrontation for fear of aggravated losses, but it is ready for its consequences.
What happened in the Strait of Hormuz as a celebrating parade of the Iranian power of tens of Iranian warships that made spiral rings around the US aircraft carrier accompanied with Iranian helicopters of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and shooting the scene and broadcasting it is to show what awaits the Americans if they persist in Iraq and elsewhere, but America coordinates with Israel which after the blow which it received in Syria will not be able to save face through the attempts of affecting the new balances of powers, and will not dare to challenge, so it has one choice; to move to Iraq as an alternative battlefield. The media and the psychological preparation of the Israeli public opinion has started, because Iraq is the linking point between Iran and Syria, and because the missile weapons stores sent by Iran to Hezbollah are gathered in Iraq, and because the security of Israel is in Iraq.
The words of the occupation Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in New York which added Iraq for the first time to the list of the targets is an announcement of the start of new regional stage during which America wants to bargain Russia to leave Iraq to Washington, in exchange for the recognition of Syria to Moscow. Therefore, the American air control over the Iraqi airspace forms an Israeli point of strength to make strikes that target the forces of the resistance and the Iranian presence in order to compensate the loss in Syria, despite the continuous seeking to harass the current transformations in it and in order to compensate the inability of changing the rules of deterrence with the resistance in Lebanon.
The nomination of the Iraqi Minister as a General Commander of the armed forces depends on the Iraqi dealing with any Israeli aggression. Iraq does not need a General Commander of its armed forces to oust the Americans, but for sure it needs a General Commander of its armed forces who has the courage of providing his forces; as an army and a popular crowd with the means of the air defense which will give Israel an unforgettable lesson if it tries to carry out any aggression.
Translated by Lina Shehadeh,